MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 21:40:33
SM
Newcastle vs. Arsenal: 17 hrs 49 mins
LL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
M
Lens
2 - 2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMarseille
41.02%27.13%31.85%
Both teams to score 49.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49%55.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31%76.69%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15%61.85%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77%32.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28%68.72%
Score Analysis
    Lens 41.01%
    Marseille 31.85%
    Draw 27.13%
LensDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.85%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG33243676344275
2Lens34219457263172
3Marseille34217662342870
4MonacoMonaco33187866501661
5Lille34178960411959
6Rennes341751256381856
7Lyon331581052371553
8Nice341312942321051
9Reims34121484135650
10Clermont33147123643-749
11Lorient33139114645148
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier33134165252043
13Toulouse33125164855-741
14Brest33811143748-1135
15Auxerre3389163155-2433
16StrasbourgStrasbourg33711154455-1132
17NantesNantes33614133548-1332
18Troyes33410194170-2922
19Ajaccio3364232261-3922
RAngers3335252772-4514
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