Lens 4-1 Lorient - Ligue 1 - April 11, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lorient
45.22%	27.28%	27.5%

Both teams to score 47.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.26%

57.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.52%

78.48%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54%

25.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.29%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3%

36.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52%

73.48%

Score Analysis

Lens 45.22%

Lorient 27.5%

Draw 27.28%

Lens	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.5%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	35	26	3	6	84	35	49	81
2	Lens	35	22	9	4	59	27	32	75
3	Marseille	36	22	7	7	66	37	29	73
4	Monaco Monaco	36	19	8	9	69	54	15	65
5	Lille	36	18	9	9	62	42	20	63
6	Rennes	36	19	5	12	65	38	27	62
7	Lyon	36	17	8	11	61	44	17	59
8	Clermont	36	15	8	13	40	47	-7	53
9	Nice	36	13	13	10	42	34	8	52
10	Lorient	35	14	10	11	49	47	2	52
11	Reims	36	12	15	9	44	39	5	51
12	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	36	14	5	17	60	58	2	47
13	Toulouse	36	12	8	16	48	55	-7	44
14	Brest	36	10	11	15	41	51	-10	41
15	Strasbourg Strasbourg	36	9	12	15	49	56	-7	39
16	Auxerre	35	8	10	17	32	57	-25	34
17	Nantes Nantes	36	6	15	15	35	53	-18	33
R	Troyes	36	4	11	21	43	78	-35	23
R	Ajaccio	36	6	5	25	22	71	-49	23
R	Angers	36	3	6	27	31	79	-48	15

Data Analysis

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