SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Clermont |
41.49% ( -0.19) | 27.53% ( 0.1) | 30.98% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( -0.34) | 57.26% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( -0.27) | 78.1% ( 0.27) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0.26) | 27.18% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.42% ( -0.34) | 62.58% ( 0.34) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.11) | 33.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.59% ( -0.12) | 70.41% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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