Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
