SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Atlas |
45.62% ( -0.03) | 26.76% ( 0.2) | 27.62% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% ( -0.81) | 55.78% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% ( -0.67) | 76.91% ( 0.67) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.37) | 24.39% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.19% ( -0.53) | 58.81% ( 0.54) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.56) | 35.53% ( 0.57) |
