SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Queretaro |
45.37% ( 0.05) | 26.27% ( -0.02) | 28.36% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( 0.08) | 53.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( 0.06) | 75.04% ( -0.06) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 0.05) | 23.53% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.43% ( 0.08) | 57.57% ( -0.08) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( 0.02) | 33.75% ( -0.02) |
