SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Necaxa | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cruz Azul | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
45.8% ( -0.18) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 27.05% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.02) | 57.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.02) | 78.31% ( -0.02) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -0.07) | 25.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.24% ( -0.1) | 59.76% ( 0.11) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.15) | 36.95% ( -0.14) |
