SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 13 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 14 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | Juarez | 14 | -2 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
63.93% ( 0.15) | 21.24% ( -0.07) | 14.83% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( 0.13) | 48.67% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0.12) | 70.78% ( -0.12) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( 0.09) | 14.54% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.18) | 42.58% ( -0.18) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.03) | 44.91% ( 0.03) |
