SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | CD Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Club America | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Club America had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Club America win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Club America |
47.5% ( -0.29) | 27.24% ( -0.01) | 25.25% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.25) | 58.88% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( 0.19) | 79.37% ( -0.19) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.03) | 24.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.55% ( -0.04) | 59.45% ( 0.04) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( 0.41) | 39.25% ( -0.41) |
