SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Tijuana in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Club Tijuana.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Cruz Azul |
43.33% ( 0.41) | 27.25% ( -0.01) | 29.42% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( -0.12) | 56.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( -0.09) | 77.71% ( 0.09) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.16) | 25.98% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39% ( 0.22) | 60.99% ( -0.22) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.37) | 34.66% ( 0.36) |
