Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (7.13%).
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Birmingham City |
53.08% ( -1.26) | 24.61% ( 0.56) | 22.31% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 50.03% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% ( -1.49) | 51.61% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% ( -1.31) | 73.4% ( 1.31) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -1.06) | 19.4% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( -1.76) | 51.21% ( 1.76) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% ( -0.15) | 37.93% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% ( -0.15) | 74.7% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 36 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 71 | 28 | 43 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 67 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 63 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 60 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 58 |
6 | Millwall | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 55 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 54 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Sunderland | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 52 |
11 | Watford | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 50 |
13 | Bristol City | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 46 |
15 | Hull City | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 46 |
16 | Reading | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 44 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 42 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 38 |
22 | Blackpool | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 32 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 32 |
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