SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 29.02% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win is 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
43.43% ( 0.16) | 27.55% ( 0.02) | 29.02% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% ( -0.13) | 58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.3% ( -0.1) | 78.69% ( 0.1) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.02) | 26.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.32% ( 0.03) | 61.68% ( -0.03) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.21) | 35.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.61% ( -0.21) | 72.38% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 29.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 5 | Millwall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 50 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 49 |
| 9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 49 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 45 |
| 11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Hull City | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
| 16 | Reading | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 40 |
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 31 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 31 |
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