SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 34.36% and a draw has a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
34.36% ( -0) | 26.04% | 39.59% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 0) | 50.57% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0) | 72.48% ( -0) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% | 28.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.22% ( -0) | 63.78% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( 0) | 25.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.19% ( 0) | 59.81% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 83 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 70 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 67 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 64 |
| 5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 61 |
| 6 | Millwall | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 60 |
| 7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 57 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 10 | Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 55 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 53 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 53 |
| 13 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Hull City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 46 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 | Reading | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 45 |
| 19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 42 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 39 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
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