MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 20:39:19
SM
EFL Cup final: 19 hrs 50 mins
Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK at Banks's Stadium
Walsall
3 - 1
Hartlepool
Miller (13', 67'), Wilkinson (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bogle (63')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Walsall and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawHartlepool United
37.64%28.64%33.72%
Both teams to score 45.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.32%60.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.24%80.76%
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93%31.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62%67.38%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39%33.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74%70.26%
Score Analysis
    Walsall 37.63%
    Hartlepool United 33.71%
    Draw 28.63%
WalsallDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.71%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient34218545212471
2Carlisle UnitedCarlisle331610754342058
3Stevenage31169643261757
4Northampton TownNorthampton321510745311455
5Stockport CountyStockport331661148311754
6Salford City331571147351252
7Mansfield TownMansfield32157105142952
8Bradford CityBradford3114983829951
9Sutton UnitedSutton33148113638-250
10Swindon TownSwindon32139104335848
11BarrowBarrow33145143640-447
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster32144143643-746
13Tranmere RoversTranmere33128133332144
14Walsall31101383528743
15AFC Wimbledon321012103333042
16Grimsby Town30108123438-438
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe32814102839-1138
18Newport CountyNewport32910133136-537
19Colchester UnitedColchester3498173140-935
20Gillingham3189142135-1433
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3279163750-1330
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool34610183662-2628
23Crawley TownCrawley3068163452-1826
24Rochdale3457222752-2522
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