SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
30.45% ( -2.14) | 29.02% ( 0.03) | 40.53% ( 2.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.94% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( -0.55) | 62.55% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( -0.4) | 82.14% ( 0.41) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -1.89) | 36.98% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.23% ( -1.93) | 73.77% ( 1.93) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.98) | 30.27% ( -0.98) |
