Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.15) 
