Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
33.72% ( -0.02) | 27.71% ( -0.01) | 38.57% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.47% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.67% ( 0.04) | 57.33% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( 0.04) | 78.16% ( -0.04) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% ( 0.01) | 31.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.67% ( 0.01) | 68.32% ( -0.01) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( 0.04) | 28.85% ( -0.04) |