Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
56.69% ( 0) | 24.2% ( 0.01) | 19.11% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( -0.05) | 53.62% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.04) | 75.12% ( 0.04) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( -0.02) | 18.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.81% ( -0.03) | 50.18% ( 0.03) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.55% ( -0.05) | 42.44% ( 0.04) |