SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
28.31% ( -0.82) | 25.86% ( -0.37) | 45.83% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( 1.05) | 51.95% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0.91) | 73.69% ( -0.91) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.06) | 32.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.07) | 69.54% ( 0.07) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 1.01) | 22.63% ( -1.01) |
