Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
