SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
27.82% ( -0.01) | 26.59% ( -0.01) | 45.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% ( 0.02) | 55.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( 0.02) | 76.3% ( -0.02) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0) | 34.97% ( 0) |
