SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
39.43% ( 0.07) | 28.44% ( -0.01) | 32.13% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.04% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.8% ( 0.02) | 60.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.61% ( 0.01) | 80.39% ( -0.01) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( 0.05) | 29.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.18% ( 0.06) | 65.82% ( -0.06) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.04) | 34.46% ( 0.04) |
