Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
