Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
