MX23RW : Saturday, March 18 20:50:07
SM
Saturday, March 18
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Colchester Community Stadium
Colchester
2 - 2
Leyton Orient
Kenlock (75'), Edwards (79')
Judge (36'), Sears (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sotiriou (66'), Coleman (90+3')
Sotiriou (11'), Young (41'), Smith (78'), Smyth (90+2')

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Leyton Orient

Given both sides are severely lacking form recently, we do not see either prevailing over the other on Tuesday. Although both will see it as a good chance to get three points against fellow strugglers, we see the teams as evenly-matched and predict a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
38.26%27.66%34.08%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93%57.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05%77.95%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09%28.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22%64.78%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49%31.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1%67.9%
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.26%
    Leyton Orient 34.07%
    Draw 27.65%
Colchester UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.07%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient362110548242473
2Stevenage361910750311967
3Northampton TownNorthampton371812750331766
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle361811758352365
5Stockport CountyStockport371791150321860
6Bradford CityBradford361612845321360
7Salford City371781257421559
8Mansfield TownMansfield351681155451056
9Sutton UnitedSutton371510124040055
10BarrowBarrow37157153842-452
11Swindon TownSwindon361312114942751
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster36155163949-1050
13Walsall361115103832648
14Tranmere RoversTranmere37139153638-248
15Grimsby Town34129133741-445
16Newport CountyNewport371013143843-543
17AFC Wimbledon371013143843-543
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe36915123345-1242
19Harrogate TownHarrogate37911174254-1238
20Gillingham36911162339-1638
21Colchester UnitedColchester3799193345-1236
22Crawley TownCrawley3588193858-2032
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool37613184066-2631
24Rochdale3768233357-2426
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