SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
36.64% ( 0.06) | 28.73% ( 0.12) | 34.63% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( -0.42) | 60.92% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( -0.32) | 80.94% ( 0.32) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -0.17) | 31.81% ( 0.17) |
