Carlisle United 0-1 Tranmere Rovers - League Two - October 16, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK at Brunton Park

Carlisle

0 - 1

Tranmere

Clough (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
29.29%	28.14%	42.57%

Both teams to score 45.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.02%

59.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.78%

80.23%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.27%

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13%

27.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52%

63.49%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 29.28%

Tranmere Rovers 42.57%

Draw 28.13%

Carlisle United	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.28%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.57%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	39	23	11	5	52	25	27	80
2	Northampton Town Northampton	40	19	13	8	53	37	16	70
3	Carlisle United Carlisle	40	19	12	9	60	37	23	69
4	Stevenage	39	19	12	8	53	36	17	69
5	Stockport County Stockport	40	19	10	11	53	33	20	67
6	Bradford City Bradford	39	17	14	8	48	34	14	65
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	39	18	10	11	63	48	15	64
8	Salford City	40	18	9	13	61	46	15	63
9	Barrow Barrow	40	17	7	16	42	47	-5	58
10	Sutton United Sutton	40	15	12	13	41	42	-1	57
11	Swindon Town Swindon	39	13	12	14	52	49	3	51
12	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	40	15	6	19	40	55	-15	51
13	Walsall	40	11	17	12	42	40	2	50
14	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	40	13	11	16	38	42	-4	50
15	Grimsby Town	39	12	12	15	42	50	-8	48
16	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	39	11	15	13	39	47	-8	48
17	Newport County Newport	39	11	14	14	41	43	-2	47
18	AFC Wimbledon	41	11	14	16	43	48	-5	47
19	Gillingham	40	12	11	17	28	42	-14	47
20	Harrogate Town Harrogate	39	9	13	17	45	57	-12	40
21	Colchester United Colchester	40	9	12	19	35	47	-12	39
22	Crawley Town Crawley	40	9	11	20	43	64	-21	38
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	40	8	14	18	47	69	-22	38
24	Rochdale	40	8	8	24	38	61	-23	32