Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.12) 
