Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
