SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
50.6% ( 0.42) | 25.52% ( -0.17) | 23.88% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.43) | 53.67% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( 0.36) | 75.16% ( -0.36) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.36) | 21.23% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.86% ( 0.55) | 54.13% ( -0.55) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0) | 37.6% ( 0) |
