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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 16, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The New York Stadium
IL
Rotherham
1 - 0
Ipswich
Smith (78')
Edmonds-Green (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Burns (45'), Celina (45+4'), Norwood (47'), Woolfenden (56'), Aluko (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Ipswich Town

With both teams in somewhat of a rut at a crucial period of the campaign, we do not expect a match full of quality. However, with Rotherham's confidence dwindling by the game, Ipswich appear to be favourites to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rotherham United in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawIpswich Town
42.11%25.86%32.03%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66%50.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.28%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5%65.5%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 42.11%
    Ipswich Town 32.03%
    Draw 25.85%
Rotherham UnitedDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 4-2 Sutton
Sunday, April 3 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 0-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 0-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in League One
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd15102328141432
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Derby CountyDerby1573525151024
8Blackpool166642422224
9Lincoln CityLincoln156451916322
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe156452223-122
11Charlton AthleticCharlton156362521421
12Cambridge UnitedCambridge165561315-220
13Burton Albion165561619-320
14Leyton Orient155551418-420
15Bristol Rovers145452019119
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan157172320314
20Northampton TownNorthampton154291521-614
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood153481525-1013
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126
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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
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