Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
