Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
