Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
