SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Morecambe |
62.44% ( 0.51) | 21.06% ( -0.23) | 16.49% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( 0.48) | 44.85% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( 0.46) | 67.21% ( -0.46) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( 0.31) | 13.78% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.91% ( 0.61) | 41.08% ( -0.61) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.07) | 40.38% ( 0.07) |
