SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
50.24% ( -0.05) | 24.05% ( 0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( -0.05) | 46.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( -0.05) | 68.43% ( 0.05) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.04) | 18.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.07) | 49.56% ( 0.07) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% ( 0) | 31.93% ( -0) |
