SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Exeter City |
79.79% ( -0.07) | 12.99% ( 0.04) | 7.21% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.96% ( -0.07) | 32.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.39% ( -0.08) | 53.6% ( 0.08) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.74% ( -0.03) | 6.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.41% ( -0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.07) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.02) | 48.14% ( -0.03) |
