SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
41.88% ( 0.15) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 32.72% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.16) | 48.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.15) | 70.31% ( 0.14) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0) | 22.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.38% ( 0.01) | 56.62% ( -0.01) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.19) | 27.96% ( 0.19) |
