SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
48.11% ( -0.2) | 25.66% ( 0.07) | 26.21% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( -0.19) | 52.43% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( -0.16) | 74.11% ( 0.16) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.17) | 21.8% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.98% ( -0.26) | 55.01% ( 0.25) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( 0) | 34.88% ( -0.01) |
