SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
71.57% ( -0.01) | 17.28% ( 0) | 11.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.01) | 39.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.01) | 62.19% ( 0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( -0.01) | 9.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.34% ( -0.01) | 32.66% ( 0.01) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.82% | 45.17% ( -0) |
