Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
