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League One | Gameweek 40
May 4, 2021 at 7pm UK
The Valley
LC
Charlton
3 - 1
Lincoln
Stockley (47'), Inniss (65'), Aneke (66')
Purrington (17'), Aneke (83'), Pratley (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anderson (88')
Bramall (20'), Jones (42')
Coverage of the League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Lincoln City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawLincoln City
32.64%26.94%40.43%
Both teams to score 50.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45%54.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1%75.9%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81%31.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47%67.53%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.68%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 32.64%
    Lincoln City 40.42%
    Draw 26.93%
Charlton AthleticDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.64%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.42%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth139402281431
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1291224101428
3Barnsley1372426131323
4Bolton WanderersBolton127232116523
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough136432014622
6Stevenage146441815322
7Blackpool135531613320
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe126241817120
9Burton Albion145451517-219
10Charlton AthleticCharlton125342114718
11Derby CountyDerby125341812618
12Lincoln CityLincoln125341512318
13Leyton Orient135351216-418
14Port Vale135351120-918
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury13526713-617
16Exeter CityExeter135171116-516
17Bristol Rovers124351717015
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge134361215-315
19Northampton TownNorthampton124171213-113
20Carlisle UnitedCarlisle142571117-611
21Wigan AthleticWigan12516171708
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood12228819-118
23Reading12318919-106
24Cheltenham TownCheltenham131210220-185
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