SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Barnsley |
27.85% ( -0.44) | 26.13% ( 0.25) | 46.02% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% ( -1.22) | 53.24% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% ( -1.04) | 74.8% ( 1.04) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( -0.99) | 33.99% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% ( -1.08) | 70.67% ( 1.07) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.43) | 23.09% ( 0.43) |
