Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
