SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
28.27% ( -0.3) | 24.26% ( 0.31) | 47.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( -1.58) | 45.16% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -1.54) | 67.5% ( 1.54) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -1.02) | 29.46% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.54% ( -1.27) | 65.47% ( 1.27) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -0.63) | 19.13% ( 0.63) |
