SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
45.36% ( -0.33) | 25.47% ( 0.13) | 29.17% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( -0.44) | 49.89% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( -0.39) | 71.88% ( 0.39) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.33) | 21.98% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.72% ( -0.5) | 55.28% ( 0.51) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -0.08) | 31.25% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.4% ( -0.09) | 67.6% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 6 |
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