Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
