J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 at 5am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
Cerezo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honda (86')
Fujita (42'), Naganuma (49')
Naganuma (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
46.29% ( 0.16) | 25.45% ( -0.3) | 28.25% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 1.05) |
| 49.69% ( 1.32) | 50.31% ( -1.32) |
| 27.74% ( 1.16) | 72.26% ( -1.16) |
| 78.27% ( 0.63) | 21.73% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.1% ( 0.95) | 54.9% ( -0.95) |
| 67.86% ( 0.8) | 32.14% ( -0.8) |
