SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Bangladesh |
41.72% ( 0.02) | 23.14% ( -0.01) | 35.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.09% ( 0.03) | 36.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.91% ( 0.03) | 59.09% ( -0.02) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( 0.02) | 18.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.8% ( 0.03) | 49.2% ( -0.03) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( 0.01) | 21.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.83% ( 0.01) | 54.18% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Bangladesh |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Everton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Luton TownLuton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
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