Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
